Wednesday, June 4, 2008

Nifty support 4635 Resistance 4770

Market opened on a pessimistic note as most of the stocks struggled to stay afloat. In most cases it was the continuation of the overnight momentum and the selling was particularly severe in Realty and Capital Goods stocks. Nifty promptly fell below 4650 and came almost around the key support level at 4630. Sensex too made a low around 15700 before some value buying coupled with short covering lifted the indices as well as beaten down stocks from the lows. RIL led the rebound as it recovered almost 5% from the intra day lows to take Nifty marginally above the 4700 mark. Beaten down stocks like DLF, Unitech, Punj Lloyd, JP associates, HDIL, SBI, Renuka Sugar and Praj staged smart recovery from the intra day lows to close with some gains. Some of the prominent gainers for the day were Essar Oil, LIC Hsg., Praj, Moser Baer, Ranbaxy, IFCI, Kotak, Divis Lab and Renuka Sugars. Some others that continued to languish and ended with losses were SCI, Balram Chini, Neyvelli, Lanco, BOB, Tata Chem, Rpower and Nalco. In fact Power as a sector was worst affected as most of the power stocks failed to recover much ground. Volumes were slightly better but the breadth continued to struggle.

Nifty Mantra 4 June 2008 Nifty bounced back from almost the crucial support level at 4630 but whether this recovery is sustainable or not would be known only in next couple of days. Market must quickly move past 4800 to raise the probability of a sustainable recovery. Only hopeful pointer or indicator is the fact market leader RIL that bounced back from 2320 to move above 2410 led that intra day recovery. RIL could recover further to around 2480. Ranbaxy closed on a new high and is looking good for more upside. Divis too moved above the breakout level of 1540 and a strong upmove is likely if it stays above this level. Most of the buying opportunities are emanating from Pharma sector only. Renuka and Praj recovered almost form their strong support levels of 108 and 175 respectively. Recovery could take both these stocks to around 120 and 202 respectively.

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